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Hair loss · London

Male-pattern baldness stages — what to expect, and when to act

Male-pattern loss follows a predictable script. Knowing which act you're in decides which treatment costs least and works best.

DT

Dr. Theo Marwick

Hair Restoration Surgeon · Marylebone

9 min18 February 2026

In short

  • Progression averages 1 Norwood stage per 5–7 years untreated.
  • Finasteride slows progression in 85–90% of men.
  • The 'act now' threshold is Norwood 2–3.
  • The 'transplant window' opens at stable Norwood 4+.

Male-pattern baldness is the world's most common medical condition after tooth decay. It's also one of the most predictable — which makes it eminently manageable if you know when to intervene.

The typical London timeline

  • Ages 18–25: onset of Norwood 2. Temple recession begins.
  • Ages 25–35: Norwood 2 → 3. Crown may start.
  • Ages 35–45: Norwood 3 → 4. Bridge narrows.
  • Ages 45+: variable — some men plateau at 4, others progress to 6–7.

Decision points

Norwood 2: monitor. Norwood 3: start medical therapy. Norwood 4 (stable 2+ years): consider surgery. Norwood 5+: combined plan mandatory.

The men who act at Norwood 2 rarely need surgery. The men who wait until 5 always do.

Frequently asked

Common questions

Can genetics predict my endpoint?+

Roughly. Look at maternal grandfather, but father matters too. Not deterministic.

Does stress accelerate MPB?+

Chronic stress can temporarily thin already-vulnerable follicles. It doesn't create MPB but can unmask it earlier.

Is there a natural stop point?+

Sometimes. About 20% of men plateau at Norwood 3–4 without intervention.

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